Chris Vasile

“At 45.5, we don't need an offensive shootout to cash this Over.”

“I see enough scoring opportunities on both sides to get past 57.5.”

“Even if the Bruins win comfortably, I don't see Michigan State contributing enough to threaten 46.5.”

“I'm backing Ole Miss to find enough explosive plays for the upset.”

“I trust LSU to create more scoring opportunities and win this one on the road.”

“Utah has advantages on both sides of the ball, making the Utes my pick.”

“If Western Michigan can consistently pick up four or five yards on first down, the Broncos have a legitimate shot at winning outright.”

“Clemson can't afford the mistakes that have hurt it against stronger opponents, but I expect its defense to create enough stops to win a close game.”

“At 47% on Kalshi, Duke is worth backing in what should be a close game.”

“Wisconsin can slow things down at home, but if USC builds an early lead, I don't trust the Badgers to produce enough offense to catch up.”

“Minnesota is getting just 31% on Kalshi, but I like the Gophers' chances in a game with a projected total around 40.5 points.”

“If the Volunteers repeat anything close to last week's effort, I like their chances of winning in Columbia.”

“I'll take New Orleans.”

“I prefer the home underdog, even if Tennessee remains difficult to trust.”

“I trust his ability to manufacture enough important drives to keep Kansas City inside the number.”

“Detroit can absolutely win outright, but I trust Green Bay to stay within striking distance and make those points count.”

“With the Raiders at home and catching more than a field goal, I'll take the points.”

“I'll take Arizona to hang around, even if the Broncos win.”

“Still, I'm backing Houston to force New York into passing situations and create the separation needed to cover.”

“Atlanta needs better quarterback play than it got against Chicago, but the situational edge and the extra half-point make the Falcons worth backing at home.”

“I'll take the Bengals with the points for now, but this pick is sensitive to Jackson's availability and mobility.”

“Give me the points with Indianapolis.”

“We're backing Chicago to cover as we break down our NFL Week 7 ATS picks for all 14 games.”

“I'll lay seven, but I wouldn't chase a larger number.”

“With Denver's secondary dealing with injuries, I'll lay less than a field goal with the Seahawks.”

“I'm backing the Jaguars to win by at least three.”

“I'll take New York getting more than a touchdown in a divisional game.”

“At home, I'll take the Bucs plus the points.”

“I'll take Cleveland, particularly if Huntley starts again.”

“I like New York to win outright at home.”

“Los Angeles should win; covering nearly two touchdowns is a much bigger ask.”

“I'll take the Under in a game where every possession should matter.”

“I like Over 50.5 in this SEC rivalry.”

“The total has already fallen from its opening number, but I'll still play the Under at 47.5.”

“Missouri has the defense to make this a fight, but I trust Chambliss and the Ole Miss offense to do enough to win in Oxford.”

“This should be Ohio State's toughest test yet, but I give the Buckeyes the edge in a battle of two Big Ten heavyweights.”

“I'll take Cincinnati to win in Morgantown.”

“Give me the Owls to win at West Point.”

“Kansas State has plenty to clean up defensively, but with Johnson leading the offense and the game in Manhattan, I'm backing the Wildcats to extend that streak.”

“If Georgia Southern can pick up where it left off against James Madison, I like the Eagles to win in Norfolk.”

“The Rebels have a solid defense, but I like Air Force's chances of controlling the clock and grinding out a home win.”

“I don't need Washington to be better than Indianapolis; I need this game to stay within a field goal.”

“I'll buy the ugly Eagles performance at the right price.”

“Getting +2.5 instead of laying it is enough for Dallas.”

“The Bengals have secondary injuries worth monitoring, but I'm comfortable backing the better quarterback at home while the number remains below three.”

“Steelers -2.5 gets the nod.”

“With Arizona still below a field goal, I'll lay the short road number.”

“I don't love laying hooks on the road, but the quarterback gap is too large.”

“I'll take Justin Herbert and 7.5 points.”

“I don't trust Kansas City to clear 4.5 on the road.”

“Chicago may still win outright, but I don't believe the Keenum 'feel good' bump lasts through this week.”

“Baltimore can control the game and win comfortably while Tennessee still stays inside an inflated 11.5-point spread.”

“I'll happily lay less than a TD with the better team.”

“San Jose State vs Hawaii: San Jose State”

“Florida vs Missouri: Florida”

“Navy vs Air Force: Air Force”

“At Davis Wade, I'll take the Bulldogs outright.”

“Penn State vs Northwestern: Penn State”

“Western Kentucky vs New Mexico State: Western Kentucky”

“Kentucky vs South Carolina: Kentucky”

“Baylor vs Arizona State: Baylor”

“Auburn vs Tennessee: Tennessee”

“That combination is perfect for an Over.”

“The Badgers can help the Under themselves with a defense allowing fewer than 300 yards per game.”

“Until Houston proves it can consistently finish drives, I'm not laying road points with the Texans.”

“Green Bay hasn't exactly looked trustworthy through two weeks either, and asking the Packers to win by six against a much different Atlanta offense is too much for me.”

“Tampa Bay is 0-2 with a -4 turnover differential, and with this spread below a field goal, I'll lay the 1.5.”

“At +7.5, I'm switching sides.”

“Staying below the key number of three makes the Panthers worth laying.”

“Jaxson Dart's injury makes this uncomfortable, but the number staying below three is enough for me to back New York at home, even with Jameis Winston under center.”

“I don't love laying the hook, but I like this matchup even less for Los Angeles.”

“In that type of matchup, I'd rather have the 2.5 than lay it with Jacksonville.”

“If Miami's offense stays anywhere near its current level, the Chiefs don't need a masterpiece to cover.”

“Laying more than a field goal on the road in the AFC North normally scares me, but Pittsburgh's offense has given me very little reason to take the points.”

“The Utes are better equipped to win a physical, low-possession game where one or two fourth-quarter drives decide it.”

“Expect the Wolverines to lean on their running game, dominate field position, and gradually suffocate Iowa over four quarters.”

“Unless Oklahoma generates turnovers or short fields, Georgia should control this game from start to finish.”

“I expect Missouri to keep this inside one possession, but Mississippi State's offensive ceiling and home-field advantage in Starkville are enough to give the Bulldogs the edge.”

“In what should be a one-score game deep into the fourth quarter, Florida's defensive front and home-field advantage give the Gators the slightest edge.”

“GT should control the ground game, create the better scoring opportunities, and leave California with a win.”

“In a game with very little margin for error, I trust Oregon more to generate stops when it absolutely needs one.”

“MSU can hang around at home, but Nebraska has the more reliable path to points.”

“Clemson doesn't need an offensive explosion to win.”

“I expect Tennessee to hang around, but Texas' advantage in the trenches and ability to generate explosive plays should eventually separate the Longhorns.”

“Make Hank Brown consistently beat this defense through the air in Ann Arbor, and I'll happily lay the points with Michigan.”

“A 35-0 halftime lead is doable, and I expect Ohio State to win the game in the ballpark of 59-3.”

“Expect the Crimson Tide to come out looking to smack Florida State in the mouth and establish control early, while the Seminoles should have enough opportunities to help push this game Over 48.5.”

“LSU's defense is the biggest reason I'm playing the Under.”

“San Jose State has surrendered at least 20 points in every game, so we don't need a shootout to clear this relatively modest number.”

“Notre Dame should do most of the heavy lifting for this Over.”

“The spread has climbed beyond where I'd want to lay it, but Northwestern is still my pick to win outright at home.”

“In a game where I expect points to be difficult to come by, I trust Chambliss and the Rebels to make fewer mistakes and find enough offense to win at home.”

“West Virginia's rushing attack is the reason I don't want to lay double digits, but Virginia is still the team I expect to win in Charlotte.”

“I'll back the Bulldogs again.”

“I'll back South Carolina to survive at home.”

“I'll back Texas Tech to survive.”

“Jordan-Hare is a major step up for Philo, but I trust Florida's offensive floor enough to win.”

“I'll take SMU outright on the road.”

“USC should have far too much firepower to lose outright.”

“Ravens vs. Colts: Ravens -3.5”

“Saints vs. Lions: Lions -6.5”

“Bills vs. Texans: Texans +1.5”

“Commanders vs. Eagles: Commanders +5.5”

“Packers vs. Vikings: Vikings -1.5”

“Dolphins vs. Raiders: Dolphins +3.5”

“Give me the hook with Tampa Bay +3.5.”

“Jets vs. Titans: Jets +1.5”

“Falcons vs. Steelers: Steelers -3.5”

“Browns vs. Jaguars: Jaguars -9.5”

“Bears vs. Panthers: Bears -3.5”

“Arizona vs BYU: Under 49.5”

“Arkansas vs Utah: Under 54.5”

“Oklahoma vs Michigan: Under 43.5”

“The Cowboys won this matchup 28-0 last year, and I think they're live to win again.”

“FSU should be sharper in its second game, but this is a massive jump in quarterback competition, and I'm backing SMU to expose it.”

“LSU won this matchup despite a poor offense a year ago, and with Sam Leavitt and Lane Kiffin upgrading that side of the ball, I'm backing LSU.”

“This is one of the closest games on the board, but I'm giving UCLA the edge because of its quarterback-coach combination.”

“With the market treating this as a relatively competitive matchup, I'm comfortable leaning on WKU's offensive system and program stability to get the win again.”

“I don't love laying a big number here, but on the moneyline, I'm comfortable trusting the Spartans to survive at home.”

“In a matchup where both sides have questions, I trust JMU's recent program stability and home-field edge enough to back the Dukes outright.”

“At home, with the more settled quarterback situation, I'm backing Eastern Michigan to move to 2-0.”

“Sure, anything can happen, but USC is trading at 98%, which is all you need to know.”

“Both teams enter Week 0 believing they can contend for a conference title, but I'm more comfortable buying what Dan Mullen is building at UNLV.”

“QB Micah Alejado gives the Rainbow Warriors plenty of reason for optimism entering 2026, and against a Stanford program still searching for answers, I'll back Hawaii to start the season by making an early statement on the road.”

“I also wanted to build out a case for New Mexico State as the underdog at 2%, because who doesn't love chaos, but the Aggies are void of any real firepower in this fight.”

“Jacksonville State's rushing attack will test them, but NDSU's strength in the trenches and a massive home-field advantage in Fargo should be enough to secure a win in its FBS debut.”

“Meanwhile, Eastern Michigan brings back Noah Kim after he led the MAC in passing yards last season, and that continuity at quarterback should help the Eagles take care of business at home.”

“I'm taking a bigger swing with Hawaii , trusting Micah Alejado to make an early statement against a Stanford team still searching for answers.”

“And at UNLV , I'll back Dan Mullen's experienced QB room to outduel a Memphis team facing much more uncertainty under center.”

“Eastern Michigan is the safest leg of my Week 0 moneyline picks combo, with Noah Kim back under center against a Sacramento State program entering its first FBS season with a new coach and 75 new players.”