Covers
112 claims extracted. Graded pick ledger
OVER 47.5
“My Rams vs. Raiders prediction backs Over 47.5 in a matchup featuring two vulnerable defenses and offenses capable of pushing the pace today.”
LAR @ LVSun, Oct 25, 10:43 AM ET · Read at source ↗
DET SPREAD -2.5
“My Packers vs. Lions prediction backs Detroit to overcome its slow start and cover -2.5 in the first half at Ford Field as the favorite.”
GB @ DETSun, Oct 25, 10:34 AM ET · Read at source ↗
PIT SPREAD -2.5
“Steelers vs Saints prediction today: Steelers -2.5”
PIT @ NOSun, Oct 25, 3:25 AM ET · Read at source ↗
“Steelers run over Saints to cover the spread for a third consecutive week.”
PIT @ NOSat, Oct 24, 4:27 PM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 47.5
“These two teams are crumbling defensively, so my top Rams vs. Raiders prediction and NFL picks call for the final score to soar over the number in this Sin City showdown.”
LAR @ LVSat, Oct 24, 9:03 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 53.5
“My favorite Packers vs. Lions prediction and NFL picks expect a quick start for Detroit and quarterback Jared Goff to pave the way to a first-half cover and the total going Over the number in Week 7.”
GB @ DETFri, Oct 23, 9:12 AM ET · Read at source ↗
PIT SPREAD -2.5UNDER 44.5
“Pittsburgh ranks second in rushing DVOA and fifth in EPA per rush , so I'm happy to back the Black and Gold below the key number of 3.”
“Pittsburgh does a number of things well on defense that will keep this total Under the number.”
PIT @ NOWed, Oct 21, 2:00 AM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 52.5GB SPREAD +3.5
“The Packers don't need to completely replicate their defensive success of the past three weeks on Sunday to keep this total Under the number.”
“So, with the Detroit Lions ranking 25th in defensive DVOA , I'm confident the Packers can hang around with this spread trading above the key number of 3.”
GB @ DETWed, Oct 21, 2:00 AM ET · Read at source ↗
BUF SPREAD -5.5
“The Buffalo Bills offense is too much for the Las Vegas Raiders to handle, and I recommend the Bills to -5.5 .”
BUF @ LVSat, Oct 17, 4:07 PM ET · Read at source ↗
JAX ML 57¢
“I recommend the Jags' moneyline to 62% .”
HOU @ JAXSat, Oct 17, 3:00 AM ET · Read at source ↗
LAD SPREAD -1.5
“It all adds up to a Game 5 in Dodger Stadium on Friday, and I recommend Los Angeles -1.5 to 43% .”
MIL @ LADThu, Oct 15, 11:45 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 53.5BUF SPREAD -4.5
“As a result, expect a high-scoring, back-and-forth bout at Allegiant Stadium between the Bills and Raiders on Sunday afternoon.”
“The Bills will also remain on the West Coast to avoid a cross-country turnaround after topping the Los Angeles Rams 37-34 in overtime on Monday Night Football, so my early lean is to lay the wood with Allen & Co. against a soft Vegas defense.”
BUF @ LVWed, Oct 14, 5:05 AM ET · Read at source ↗
JAX SPREAD -2.5
“My initial Texans vs. Jaguars predictions and NFL picks are calling for Jacksonville covering the spread in a low-scoring AFC South tilt.”
HOU @ JAXWed, Oct 14, 4:00 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 6.5CLE ML 13¢
“That's why I'm recommending this Over to 57% .”
“The Guardians are rolling, and the Rays can't hit lefties, so I'd recommend the Guardians' moneyline to 50% for Game 2.”
CLE @ TBTue, Oct 13, 2:10 PM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 6.5
“The Guardians also went 3-for-12 with runners in scoring position, so I'd price this Over closer to 57%.”
CLE @ TBTue, Oct 13, 9:41 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 6.5LAD ML 55¢
“The Brewers offense also checks in second and third in those respective metrics, so I expect Milwaukee chipping in to send this total Over the number tonight.”
“With Los Angeles Dodgers starter Yoshinobu Yamamoto on the hill in the playoffs, I'm backing the Dodgers to 60%.”
LAD @ MILMon, Oct 12, 11:09 AM ET · Read at source ↗
SEA SPREAD -3.5SEA SPREAD -3
“I'm going with Seattle -3.5 in this combo to boost the return.”
“I recommend the Seattle Seahawks moneyline to 66%, or pivoting to Seahawks -3 if it becomes available again.”
SF @ SEASun, Oct 11, 10:16 AM ET · Read at source ↗
PIT ML 66¢UNDER 43.5
“The Pittsburgh Steelers have a massive rest and travel advantage this week, so I recommend the Steelers moneyline to 62%.”
“With both teams likely leaning on the ground game, the clock should continue to churn and keep this total Under the number.”
IND @ PITSun, Oct 11, 6:56 AM ET · Read at source ↗
SEA ML 55¢
“I recommend the Seattle Seahawks moneyline to 66%, or pivoting to Seahawks -3 if it becomes available again.”
SF @ SEASat, Oct 10, 5:00 AM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 48.5ATL SPREAD +2.5
“Early Falcons vs Saints total pick: Under 48.5”
“Early Falcons vs Saints spread pick: Falcons +2.5”
ATL @ NOTue, Sep 29, 3:53 AM ET · Read at source ↗
ATL ML 66¢OVER 6.5
“With the Philadelphia Phillies rotation taxed after battling to their final game to secure a postseason berth, I'd recommend the Atlanta Braves moneyline to 68%.”
“This Over 6.5 is in play to 57%.”
PHI @ ATLMon, Sep 28, 9:21 AM ET · Read at source ↗
TEN ML 46¢
“With heavy rain and gusty winds expected to impact conditions in Week 3, my NFL picks are backing Tennessee to win a physical, low-scoring battle on the road.”
TEN @ NYGSun, Sep 27, 7:10 AM ET · Read at source ↗
LAC SPREAD +7.5
“Take the points with the Los Angeles Chargers to 54%, as the spread sits above the key number of 7.”
LAC @ BUFSun, Sep 27, 7:08 AM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 37.5
“The weather forecast is miserable for this Week 3 tilt, so I recommend playing the Under to 37.5.”
TEN @ NYGSat, Sep 26, 5:00 PM ET · Read at source ↗
LAC SPREAD +7.5
“With this spread above the key number of 7, I'd recommend taking the points with the Los Angeles Chargers to 54%.”
LAC @ BUFSat, Sep 26, 6:10 AM ET · Read at source ↗
CIN SPREAD -3.5
“Burrow and the offense won't need to light up the scoreboard to cover the number Sunday.”
CIN @ PITSat, Sep 26, 4:45 AM ET · Read at source ↗
BOS MLOVER 6.5
“This is a simple handicap, and the reason I'd back the Boston Red Sox to 50% is that the Chicago Cubs just clinched a postseason berth last night and traveled for this 1:05 p.m. game in Boston.”
“Cubs vs Red Sox Over/Under pick: Over 6.5”
CHC @ BOSFri, Sep 25, 7:09 AM ET · Read at source ↗
ATL SPREAD -1.5OVER 7.5
“Cincinnati Reds starter Brady Singer has allowed three earned runs or more in each of his past 10 starts for an enormous 7.06 xERA and 5.49 xFIP , so I recommend this Atlanta Braves -1.5 run line to 52%.”
“With Atlanta clearly set up for success at the dish , we only need Cincinnati to chip in to hit this Over 7.5, and I recommend it to 53.5%.”
CIN @ ATLThu, Sep 24, 8:59 AM ET · Read at source ↗
CHC SPREAD -1.5UNDER 7.5
“The Chicago Cubs aren't dropping three straight to the Miami Marlins , and I recommend the Cubbies -1.5 run line to 50% .”
“This Under 7.5 is good to 59% because Miami righty Tyler Phillips is also pitching well with a 3.67 xERA and 3.84 xFIP across his past six starts.”
MIA @ CHCThu, Sep 24, 6:55 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 7.5HOU ML 47¢
“As a result, I'm anticipating the Mariners also putting runs on the board to send this total Over 7.5, and I recommend it to 53.5% .”
“With the Houston Astros battling for a postseason berth and Seattle Mariners righty George Kirby collapsing down the stretch, the Astros moneyline is in play for me to 50% .”
HOU @ SEAWed, Sep 23, 9:32 AM ET · Read at source ↗
MIL ML 54¢OVER 7.5
“As a result, I recommend the Milwaukee moneyline to 60% .”
“Even with the wind blowing in from center at a 15-mph clip at Citizens Bank Park tonight, and the Philly offense struggling in the advanced metrics of late, I expect this total to go Over the number tonight.”
MIL @ PHIWed, Sep 23, 6:42 AM ET · Read at source ↗
MIN ML 58¢UNDER 7.5
“I recommend the Minny moneyline to 60%.”
“This Under 7.5 is in play to 53.5% because the Twins are also missing multiple impact hitters, and Oracle Park ranks 26th in Baseball Savant Park Factor and 28th in home runs.”
MIN @ SFWed, Sep 23, 5:02 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 7.5PHI ML 57¢
“This Over 7.5 is in play to 55% because while Wheeler has been exceptional, the Brewers also send a well-rounded lineup to the plate.”
“With the Milwaukee Brewers sending Dustin May to the hill on short rest, I like the Philadelphia Phillies moneyline to 60%.”
MIL @ PHITue, Sep 22, 9:13 AM ET · Read at source ↗
TEN SPREAD +3.5UNDER 40.5
“There hasn't been enough of a market adjustment to reflect the loss of Dart , so I'll lean toward taking the points with Tennessee.”
“Similarly, I'm anticipating Saleh and Bradley to prepare the rebuilt Tennessee defense to stall enough New York drives to keep this total Under the number.”
TEN @ NYGTue, Sep 22, 8:39 AM ET · Read at source ↗
BUF SPREAD -6.5UNDER 49.5
“My early Chargers vs. Bills prediction and NFL picks are calling for Buffalo to cover the number while holding the Los Angeles offense in check in Week 3.”
“With the Chargers checking in 30th in PFF offense grade and 28th in offensive success rate , I expect Buffalo to hold Los Angeles in check enough to keep this total Under the number.”
LAC @ BUFMon, Sep 21, 8:28 AM ET · Read at source ↗
DAL SPREAD +2.5OVER 52.5
“Early Ravens vs Cowboys spread pick: Cowboys +2.5”
“Early Ravens vs Cowboys total pick: Over 52.5”
BAL @ DALMon, Sep 21, 7:38 AM ET · Read at source ↗
PIT SPREAD +5.5
“With the Steelers sending out a capable, experienced, and versatile defense , I'm happy to take the points in what I forecast to be a low-scoring game.”
PIT @ NESun, Sep 20, 6:55 AM ET · Read at source ↗
PIT SPREAD +5.5UNDER 42.5
“My Steelers vs. Patriots prediction and NFL picks expect a low-scoring bout with Pittsburgh staying inside the number in Week 2.”
“The Pittsburgh Steelers and New England Patriots aren't built for high-scoring games, so I like this Under down to 40.5 .”
PIT @ NESat, Sep 19, 5:30 AM ET · Read at source ↗
PHI SPREAD -7.5
“It's why I'm comfortable backing the Philadelphia Eagles -7.5 down to 50%.”
PHI @ TENSat, Sep 19, 5:00 AM ET · Read at source ↗
AZ SPREAD -1.5OVER 8.5
“I'm bullish on the Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 run line to 42% because Miami Marlins righty Ryan Gusto has serious statistical correction ahead.”
“As a result, I'm anticipating both teams chipping in offensively to send this total Over the number tonight.”
MIA @ AZWed, Sep 16, 10:12 AM ET · Read at source ↗
TEX ML 51¢OVER 7.5
“I handicap this game as a near toss-up, so I'll back the Texas Rangers moneyline to 54% because they are in superior offensive form.”
“This total is too low, and I'd recommend the Over 7.5 to 57%.”
BOS @ TEXWed, Sep 16, 8:46 AM ET · Read at source ↗
CHC SPREAD -1.5OVER 7.5
“Who will win Braves vs Cubs today: Cubs -1.5”
“Braves vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Over 7.5”
ATL @ CHCWed, Sep 16, 6:46 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 8.5CHC ML 58¢
“Chicago is set up to do the heavy lifting to send this total Over the number, and I recommend it to 54% because Atlanta ranks 10th in both wOBA and ISO against righties for the year.”
“The Chicago Cubs have lit up lefties this season with a league-high wOBA and ISO, and they draw susceptible Atlanta Braves southpaw Martin Perez tonight, so I like the Cubbies moneyline to 59%.”
ATL @ CHCTue, Sep 15, 11:06 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 8.5CWS ML 42¢
“With ideal hitting conditions , the White Sox aren't the only team positioned to put runs on the board, so this Over has my attention to 54%.”
“I'm bullish on the Chicago White Sox moneyline to 45% because they're tied for second in wOBA against lefties since the All-Star break , and Cleveland Guardians starter Foster Griffin has struggled since joining the club.”
CWS @ CLETue, Sep 15, 9:25 AM ET · Read at source ↗
PIT SPREAD +5.5UNDER 42.5
“Pittsburgh (+5.5) hangs around in a low-scoring bout to cover the number vs. the Patriots in Week 2.”
“Early Steelers vs Patriots total pick: Under 42.5”
PIT @ NEMon, Sep 14, 10:59 AM ET · Read at source ↗
PHI SPREAD -6.5UNDER 39.5
“Early Eagles vs Titans spread pick: Eagles -6.5”
“Early Eagles vs Titans total pick: Under 39.5”
PHI @ TENMon, Sep 14, 10:31 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 9.5CHC ML 56¢
“So, with both teams set up for offensive success, I'm anticipating a lot of crooked numbers on the scoreboard given the favorable hitting conditions tonight.”
“As a result, I recommend the Chicago Cubs ' moneyline to 58.3%.”
ATL @ CHCMon, Sep 14, 8:53 AM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 41.5ATL SPREAD +5.5
“I'd recommend playing the Under 41.5 to 54.5%.”
“I'm happy to take the points and fade Rodgers.”
ATL @ PITSun, Sep 13, 5:26 AM ET · Read at source ↗
DET SPREAD -6.5
“I happily grabbed Detroit below the key number of 7, and I would also back the Lions moneyline at -7 due to the sheer gap in offensive talent.”
NO @ DETSat, Sep 12, 4:06 PM ET · Read at source ↗
PHI SPREAD -5.5
“Commanders vs Eagles prediction: Eagles -5.5”
WSH @ PHISat, Sep 12, 3:38 PM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 7.5PIT ML 51¢
“This Over 7.5 is playable to 54.5%.”
“I recommend playing the Pirates moneyline to 52.4%.”
PIT @ CWSThu, Sep 10, 9:29 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 6.5TEX ML 48¢
“This is an aggressively low total , and I'm still bullish on the Over 6.5 to 53.5% .”
“As a result, I expect the Rangers to outscore the Mariners this afternoon and recommend the Texas moneyline to 50% .”
TEX @ SEAThu, Sep 10, 7:36 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 7.5
“Finally, both teams have trended to the Over, so I recommend this pick up to 57.4% .”
TEX @ SEATue, Sep 8, 1:27 PM ET · Read at source ↗
TEX ML 45¢OVER 7.5
“As a result, I like the Texas moneyline to 48.8% .”
“Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Rangers vs Mariners Over/Under pick: Over 7.5 (55.6%)”
TEX @ SEATue, Sep 8, 10:27 AM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 8.5PHI ML 56¢
“Add the Astros playing to the Under in 14 of their past 20 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI), and I'm anticipating a low-scoring series opener at Citizens Bank Park and would play this Under to 52.4%.”
“I'd back the Phillies to 59.2%.”
HOU @ PHITue, Sep 8, 10:26 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 7.5MIL SPREAD -1.5
“Both of these offenses continue to roll, so I do expect there to be enough runs to send this total Over the 7.5 number tonight.”
“In fact, I'd back the Brewers to 52.4% on the run line tonight.”
CHC @ MILTue, Sep 8, 8:35 AM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 8.5PHI ML 56¢
“Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Astros vs Phillies Over/Under pick: Under 8.5 (49.8%)”
“Who will win Astros vs Phillies today: Phillies moneyline (58.2%)”
HOU @ PHITue, Sep 8, 7:26 AM ET · Read at source ↗
MIN SPREAD -1.5UNDER 45.5
“Early Packers vs Vikings spread pick: Vikings -1.5”
“Early Packers vs Vikings total pick: Under 45.5”
GB @ MINMon, Sep 7, 12:34 PM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 44.5PHI SPREAD -5.5
“Early Commanders vs Eagles total pick: Under 44.5”
“Early Commanders vs Eagles spread pick: Eagles -5.5”
WSH @ PHIMon, Sep 7, 10:41 AM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 45.5MIN SPREAD -1.5
“My early Packers vs. Vikings predictions and NFL picks call for Minnesota to cover with the final score coming in Under the number in Week 1.”
“My early Packers vs. Vikings predictions and NFL picks call for Minnesota to cover with the final score coming in Under the number in Week 1.”
GB @ MINMon, Sep 7, 9:34 AM ET · Read at source ↗
CHC ML 36¢OVER 8.5
“Who will win Cubs vs Brewers today: Cubs moneyline (47.4%)”
“Cubs vs Brewers Over/Under pick: Over 8.5 (50.2%)”
CHC @ MILMon, Sep 7, 7:29 AM ET · Read at source ↗
TEX ML 49¢UNDER 7.5
“Turning to Rangers starter Cal Quantrill , he's spun a tidy 2.96 xERA and 3.32 xFIP through his past six outings, so I'm happy to back Texas to 50% tonight .”
“Fortunately, Tampa Bay hasn't been notably better and ranks 20th in the metric with 4.9 runs per game during the same stretch, and the Rays have played to the Under in 25 of their last 40 away games (+8.70 Units / 20% ROI).”
TB @ TEXThu, Sep 3, 2:06 PM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 7.5TEX ML 49¢
“So, with Quantrill's highlighted run, Tampa isn't positioned to put up many crooked numbers on the scoreboard, either.”
“While Tampa Bay is a short road favorite, my top Rays vs. Rangers prediction and MLB picks call for Cal Quantrill to lead the way in a low-scoring Texas win.”
TB @ TEXThu, Sep 3, 11:06 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 8.5BOS ML 53¢
“This Over 8.5 is in play to 53.5%.”
“Boston is a 54% favorite ahead of the opening pitch at 7:15 p.m. ET, and my top Red Sox vs. Orioles predictions and MLB picks call for the BoSox to come through with the win at Camden Yards in Baltimore, Maryland.”
BOS @ BALThu, Sep 3, 8:27 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 10.5
“Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Over 10.5 (47.6%)”
CHC @ MILTue, Sep 1, 10:20 AM ET · Read at source ↗
OVER 10.5CHC ML 36¢
“Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Over 10.5 (47.6%)”
“First pitch is at 7:40 p.m. ET, and my best bet for tonight's Brewers vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks are for Chicago to stay hot and secure another victory in another high-scoring shootout at the Friendly Confines.”
CHC @ MILTue, Sep 1, 7:20 AM ET · Read at source ↗
UNDER 9.5
“Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (51.7%)”
CHC @ MILMon, Aug 31, 11:24 AM ET · Read at source ↗
CHC ML 36¢UNDER 9.5
“My top Brewers vs. Cubs predictions and MLB picks call for the North Siders to take the opener of this four-game set, with first pitch at 7:40 p.m. ET.”
“Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Brewers vs Cubs Over/Under pick: Under 9.5 (51.7%)”
CHC @ MILMon, Aug 31, 8:24 AM ET · Read at source ↗