Rob Paul

“Who will win Ole Miss vs Texas tonight? Pick: Texas -3.5”

“Who will win Houston vs Utah today? Pick: Utah -6.5”

“Houston vs Utah Over/Under pick: Over 56.5”

“I like the Tide to do the bulk of the scoring to hit the Over at 51.5 or better .”

“Fresh off a bye week, I like USC to cover -2.5 or better on the road against Wisconsin .”

“But even with the Badgers' strong defense and lackluster offense, I would take the Over at 50.5 or better.”

“Though Utah's defense is the reason I think it will cover at home against Houston, I still expect a ton of points to be scored between two teams that are a combined 9-4 to the Over this season.”

“Although Utah had a shaky game last week against Colorado, I like the Utes to cover up to -9.5 at home against the Cougars in the No. 1 must-watch game of my Week 8 Top 25 predictions.”

“Although Alabama is coming off two straight regular-season losses for the first time since 2007, I like the Crimson Tide to cover up to -16.5 against this underachieving Texas A&M squad.”

“Texas A&M is ranked outside the top 30 on defense, and I like the Tide to do the bulk of the scoring to hit the Over at 51.5 or better .”

“This NC State team is clearly flawed, but it's competent enough on offense with CJ Bailey to cover up to -8.5 against a Cardinal team that's 1-5 ATS since the start of September.”

“UConn has one of the most lethal offenses in the Group of Six and one of the worst defenses, making it a perfect Over team (I'd play the Over up to 51.5 ).”

“With the injury situation making it hard to feel strongly about a side, I like playing the Over at 48.5 or better .”

“That's why I like Army to win outright as an underdog instead of taking the Black Knights +1.5.”

“That's why I like Air Force to cover -8.5 or better on the road.”

“Rice vs Florida Atlantic: Florida Atlantic -7.5”

“Boise State vs Washington State: Boise State -13.5”

“Western Michigan vs Toledo: Toledo -2.5”

“North Dakota State vs New Mexico: New Mexico -4.5”

“Who will win Ole Miss vs Texas: Texas -3.5”

“Ole Miss vs Texas Over/Under pick: Over 53.5”

“Last week, BYU shocked everyone by beating Notre Dame , and this week, Utah should pull off a decisive win against Houston (I like the Utes to cover up to -9.5 ).”

“After a high-profile loss like that, I expect Curt Cignetti to be champing at the bit to have his Hoosiers reassert themselves as Big Ten contenders, and I'd take Indiana to cover up to -8.5 .”

“As long as LSU QB Sam Leavitt plays within himself, Kiffin's team can cover up to -8.5 on the road.”

“Although the Longhorns will likely be without star pass rusher Colin Simmons, their defense should still frustrate an offense that relies so heavily on Chambliss to wear a cape.”

“The Wolfpack and Cardinal are a combined 9-4 to the Over, and I like it to hit at 55.5 or better .”

“The Wolfpack's passing game will be too much, and I have NC State winning 33-24 .”

“Who will win NC State vs Stanford: NC State -6.5”

“Even with Arch Manning's struggles, I like the Over at 54.5 or better .”

“Everything has gone wrong for Texas lately, but despite losing to Florida by three last week, I like the Longhorns to cover -5.5 or better against Ole Miss .”

“With this high-end QB matchup between Dampier and Conner Weigman , I'd play the Over at 57.5 or better.”

“Though Utah is coming off a shaky road win against Colorado , I think this is a huge letdown spot for Houston , and I like the Utes to cover up to -9.5 at home in front of a ravenous crowd.”

“Though I don't expect BYU to put up more than 24 points on Notre Dame's defense, I think the Fighting Irish will do enough of the scoring for the Over to hit, and I'd play it up to 49.5 .”

“In George MacIntyre's first start for Josh Heupel, he finished with just a 10.3 QBR in a seven-point win against Arkansas.”

“The Boilermakers are 5-1 to the Over this season and have hit it in all four home games (4-0), which is why I like the Over at 53.5 or better .”

“The Demon Deacons have one of the country's most potent offenses, and I like them to cover up to -10.5 on the road against a Cal program that lacks an identity.”

“In four games against unranked opponents, the Demon Deacons have hit the Over three times, though I'd only take the Over at 53.5 or better .”

“With BYU missing running back LJ Martin , I like Notre Dame to cover -10.5 or better on the road in the Fighting Irish's first game in Provo since 2004.”

“Notre Dame vs BYU Over/Under pick: Over 47.5”

“TOP PICK Who will win Notre Dame vs BYU: Notre Dame -10.5”

“Purdue isn't as good as its 3-3 record, and Washington isn't as bad as its 3-3 record, and I think that will show in this matchup — I like the Huskies to cover +2.5 or better on the road.”

“The Tigers can cover up to -9.5 against this struggling Tulane team.”

“He'll be starting again against Bama, which is why I like the Tide to cover -9.5 or better .”

“For this Over to hit (I'd take it at 51.5 or better ), Alabama will need to do the bulk of the scoring, and the Tide will push for 31+ points given Russell's recent play.”

“The Beavers have blown out four straight non-P4 opponents, and I like them to cover up to -20.5 against the Cougars.”

“With a defense that's 25th nationally in success rate (39.5%) , the Dukes should shut down a Georgia State team that's 99th in offensive success rate (41.8%) and cover for the fourth time at home this season.”

“With the Victory Cannon on the line, Western Michigan can cover up to -8.5 against Central Michigan .”

“I'd take New Mexico to cover as many as 16.5 points , and I can't believe the Lobos aren't favored by more.”

“Coming off a gutting road loss to No. 1 Georgia , I expect Alabama to bounce back in a big way against a Tennessee team with a QB problem (I like the Tide to cover up to -9.5 ).”

“I like IU to cover +3.5 or better .”

“He's helped the Tigers cover in two consecutive SEC games, and I like Missouri to make it three straight at +5.5 or better against a Rebels defense that's struggled (97th in net adjusted EPA per play).”

“With Martin out of the Cougars lineup, I like the Fighting Irish to cover -10.5 or better , even with College GameDay on campus in Provo.”

“The Boilermakers are 5-1 to the Over this season and have hit it in each of their home games (4-0), which is why I like the Over at 53.5 or better .”

“However, the Boilermakers are in a clear letdown spot, and I'd take Washington to cover +2.5 or better .”

“I think Notre Dame will make it a fourth straight against BYU and would play the Over at 51.5 or better.”

“The biggest reason I like Notre Dame to cover -9.5 or better is BYU is down running back LJ Martin.”

“However, Tennessee's Week 6 performance is the reason I like Alabama to cover -9.5 or better against the Vols.”

“But with the way the Crimson Tide's offense has looked against quality opponents not named Georgia, I like the Over at 51.5 or better .”

“The bulk of the scoring will come from an Ohio State offense ranked No. 7 in offensive success rate (52.4%) and No. 13 in points per opportunity (5.11) , but I still like the Over at 48.5 or better.”

“This is a significant spread for Ohio State to cover on the road, and I only like the Buckeyes at -13.5 or better.”

“Michigan has the overall better unit, but Minnesota's is more disruptive, which is why I like the Under at 42.5 or better.”

“Although Minnesota is coming off an impressive road win over Washington and Michigan just lost a heartbreaker on the final play to Iowa , I like the Wolverines to cover -5.5 or better in a rivalry they've historically dominated.”

“The Ducks are 2.5-point favorites, and my Oregon vs. USC combos and college football picks expect Dan Lanning to beat Riley yet again in a high-scoring shootout.”

“Pick: Tennessee +5.5”

“His defense remains a major issue, and it's the biggest reason I like Oregon at -3.5 or better.”

“Patterson, who hadn't called a defense since being fired at TCU in 2021, hasn't fixed anything in L.A., which is why I'd play the Over at 63.5 or better .”

“Oregon should win this game outright because it's more well-rounded and has more proven playmakers (USC is also expected to be without freshman phenom receiver Trent Mosley ).”

“Texas vs Tennessee Over/Under pick: Over 55.5”

“Who will win Texas vs Tennessee: Tennessee +5.5”

“I'm expecting these two to clear the Over with room to breathe, and I'd take it as high as 51.5.”

“I like Navy up to -8.5.”

“As long as Josh Hoover and Charlie Becker keep the passing game humming (it's No. 2 nationally in EPA per pass) the Hoosiers should cover up to -20.5.”

“This is the 16th time Liberty and Coastal Carolina have played since 2003, and historically the Chanticleers' and Flames' matchups have been high on points, which is why I like the Over at 52.5 or better.”

“The last time they played it was an instant classic, a 37-34 OT win for the Flames, and this matchup could follow a similar script — but with Liberty winning bigger (I like the Flames at -4.5 or better).”

“They should run all over a WMU defense that's 89th in early-down EPA per play and help Boise State cover up to -7.5.”

“USF is worth backing up to -20.5.”

“Well, it hasn't been much of a rivalry since Diego Pavia, Tim Beck, and Jerry Kill left Las Cruces for Nashville, and I'm expecting that to continue with a blowout win for New Mexico (I like the Lobos up to -16.5).”

“James Madison has a massive talent advantage in this year's Royal Rivalry, and I like the Dukes to cover up to -6.5.”

“Against a stingy Rams defense, I like Colorado State to cover at +10.5 or better.”

“I have my doubts, especially on the road, and I like Florida to cover -4.5 or better .”

“The Ducks can win a shootout, and I'd take Dan Lanning to cover -3.5 or better .”

“This is also Texas' first road game of the season, and Knoxville isn't an easy place to play, which is why the Vols are in play for me at +4.5 or better .”

“And while Taylor vs. Simmons (two potential future high draft picks) is the reason to tune in, Missouri's defense is the reason to back the Tigers to cover +5.5 or better .”

“Who will win Liberty vs Coastal Carolina: Liberty -2.5”

“Liberty vs Coastal Carolina Over/Under pick: Over 51.5”

“Score prediction: Oregon 41, USC 37”

“A shootout is brewing in L.A., and I like the Over at 63.5 or better .”

“USC's defense is one of the worst in the country, and the main reason I like Dan Lanning's team to cover -3.5 or better .”

“Mix that in with Texas A&M's offensive struggles, and I like the Under here at 50.5 or higher.”

“This is a big spread, considering both programs lost last week as favorites, but those were very different losses, which is why I like LSU to cover up to -9.5 at home against this Texas A&M team.”

“Once the Tigers' offenses settle into what will be a rowdy atmosphere, I have them winning 29-24 as my LSU vs. Ole Miss prediction .”

“Though I expect this year's Magnolia Bowl to follow the LSU vs. Ole Miss rivalry trend of hitting the Under (it's cashed in four of the last five matchups), I do expect both QBs to be the focal points of their offenses.”

“Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Kent State vs Ohio State Over/Under pick: Over 59.5”

“Enjoying Covers content? Add us as a preferred source on your Google account Houston vs Texas Tech Over/Under pick: Over 52.5”

“Texas Tech covering is among my Friday night football best bets this week.”

“Kent State vs Ohio State Over/Under pick: Over 59.5”

“I like Ohio State to cover at -52.5 or better.”

“I like the Under at 56.5 or better.”

“With LSU's defensive advantage, I like the Tigers to cover at -3.5 or better in the No. 1-ranked game in my college football Top 25 predictions for Week 3.”

“The Ducks should win this game by 60+.”

“But despite this being one of only three Top 25 matchups in Week 3, the Red Raiders are built to pull away and cover in the second half.”

“With Mensah and Malachi Toney doing the bulk of the scoring here, I only like the Over at 56.5 or better.”

“Between the Dukes' run game (46th in EPA per rush) and special teams (zero missed kicks, three return touchdowns), I think they could win outright, but I like them at +1.5 or better.”

“I like the Over at 62.5 or better.”

“Fresno State is in play at -6.5 or better.”

“This will be a blowout, and I like NDSU to cover up to -28.5.”

“ATS pick: Texas Tech -7.5 🟡”

“Over/Under pick: Over 52.5 ⚪”

“ML pick: Texas Tech (73%) 🟡”

“ML pick: SMU (48%) ⚪”

“Over/Under pick: Under 58.5 🟡”

“ATS pick: SMU +1.5 ⚪”

“Over/Under pick: Over 49.5 🟡”

“ML pick: Texas A&M (88%) 🟢”

“ATS pick: Texas A&M -15.5 🟡”

“Over/Under pick: Under 53.5 🟡”

“ATS pick: Virginia -10.5 🟢”

“ML pick: Virginia (77%) 🟢”

“Over/Under pick: Under 57.5 ⚪”

“ML pick: LSU (50%) 🟡”

“ATS pick: LSU +1.5 🟡”

“Who will win Houston vs Texas Tech: Texas Tech -7.5”

“Houston vs Texas Tech Over/Under pick: Over 52.5”

“That's why I like LSU to cover -3.5 or better.”

“Early LSU vs Ole Miss total pick: Over 58.5”

“Early Houston vs Texas Tech spread pick: Texas Tech -7.5”

“Early Houston vs Texas Tech total pick: Over 52.5”

“Although Kiffin is known for his offense and Chambliss is a Heisman Trophy odds favorite, the defenses are why LSU is positioned to win in The Vaught.”

“I'd take Navy to cover more than double this spread (-9.5).”

“If Memphis can get its run game going and pressure Maddux Madsen , Charles Huff's team can keep this within 10 points (and I would take the Tigers to cover +8.5 or better).”

“It's hard to believe North Texas is getting this much respect (I would take UNLV to cover up to -6.5).”

“With how discombobulated USF looked in Week 1, I would take Army to cover -5.5 or better.”

“I would take the Road Runners to win outright at a 50% probability or better.”

“Iowa is in play for me up to -16.5.”

“Iowa's physical run game and defense should take advantage of the Cyclones and give Kirk Ferentz his 15th Cy-Hawk win.”

“I like OU to cover up to -6.5”

“Given Texas' offensive upgrades, Ohio State's defensive losses, and Julian Sayin's struggles in games against Top 10 teams (three interceptions, 10 sacks), I have the Longhorns winning 27-24 .”

“Marshall has the Jayhawks ranked 38th on offense by SP+, and he's the key reason I would take the Jayhawks to cover +3.5 or better.”

“Kirk Ferentz has won 14 of the last 22 Cy-Hawk games, and with Iowa State dealing with so much change, I would take his Hawkeyes to cover -14.5 or better.”

“But I wouldn't take the Under on a number lower than 40.5”

“At this point in the week, I'm projecting a 27-24 win for Texas and would take the Over on any number lower than 50.5.”

“Given what Ohio State has to replace on defense, the Longhorns' home-field advantage, and the additions around Manning, I would take Texas to win at 55% or better.”

“Who will win Washington State vs Washington: Washington State +23.5”

“Washington State vs Washington Over/Under pick: Under 51.5”

“Despite being on the road, UCLA is a 2.5-point favorite in Bob Chesney's first game leading the Bruins, but my UCLA vs. California prediction and college football picks are taking Tosh Lupoi's program to cover behind a strong performance from Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele.”

“The way these two match up, I like the Under at any number above 46.5.”

“Over/Under pick: Under 58.5 🟢”

“ATS pick: Texas Tech -42.5 🟡”

“Over/Under pick: Under 51.5 🟡”

“ATS pick: Fresno State +21.5 🟡”

“ATS pick: Penn State -23.5 🟡”

“Over/Under pick: Over 52.5 🟡”

“ATS pick: Houston -20.5 🟡”

“Over/Under pick: Over 49.5 🟢”

“ATS pick: SMU -3.5 🟡”

“ML pick: SMU (60%) 🟢”

“Over/Under pick: Under 53.5 🟡”

“ML pick: Notre Dame (91%) 🟢”

“Over/Under pick: Under 46.5 ⚪”

“ATS pick: Notre Dame -20.5 🟢”

“ATS pick: Clemson +10.5 🟡”

“ML pick: LSU (77%) 🟡”

“Over/Under pick: Under 51.5 🟢”

“Jacksonville State vs. North Dakota State: North Dakota State -6.5”

“Sacramento State vs. Eastern Michigan: Eastern Michigan -8.5”

“Hawaii vs Stanford: Hawaii +3.5”

“New Mexico State vs Florida State: Under 53.5”

“Jacksonville State vs North Dakota State: Over 46.5”